Prediction

Southhampton vs. Liverpool

Friday, March 16th 2013, 12:45 CET

Liverpool will start its Saturday match on the St. Mary’s Stadium with great morale, fresh from a win against Tottenham. They were with their back against the wall, and couldn’t afford to even think about a loss or even a draw. Even if Red’s players lacked an apparent cohesion in the midfield, Steven Gerard’s late penalty brought a victory for the team and helped Liverpool move up to the 6th place, just 2 points short of reaching Arsenal and securing a place for the European League qualifiers.

Southampton, on the other hand, are looking more secure in avoiding the bottom three teams and, considering the last game between these two was almost eight years ago, a game which the Saints won, I think they are ready and capable to win something from this game.

Statistics show that both teams are fairly equal in the clean sheets department, with Southampton at 30% in their last 20 games and Liverpool with 20%. The results in the last ten matches are a bit different: Liverpool won 5 matches, lost 3, and 2 ended up in a draw. Southampton won just 2 matches, 4 were lost, and the other 4 ended up in a draw.

One very interesting fact is that many bookmakers are stating Liverpool has more chances to score first, and Luis Suarez to be the one to either close the game or give an equalizer. Other good news for the Reds is that Pepe Reina is back on the team after a long injury, so that should give them a boost of confidence, with him on the field they seem more sure in their attack schemes.

Southampton must do everything to at least get a point out of this game considering they have to play against Chelsea next and they are motivated too, because Steven Davis and Danny Fox resumed training, making their defense tough to break through.

While I don’t think Liverpool has enough games left in Premier League to fight for a Champions League place, I do believe they have what it takes and then some more to take those 3 points from the Saints, so I bet 6 units on Liverpool at 1.88 at Betfair.

Liverpool to win at 1.88.

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